Saturday, November 29, 2014

Saturday November 29, 2014

$SPY Over the past week there was no trading in the Alpha One Model Portfolio.  The Alpha Model gained 355 basis points over the holiday shortened week while the S&P 500 Index gained 406 basis points in year-to-date performance. There is one open position in the Option category; I am carrying into the coming week a trade in the .SPY141220C207.  The trade is slightly under water but I am holding it into the coming week looking for 2.57 or better.

Current portfolio holdings are 66.3% Long and 33.7% Cash.  Will be watching $CAVM, $FFIV, $IDTI and $KMI with particular interest in the coming week for possible additions to the portfolio.

Besides the stronger economic data, low interest rates and stellar earnings released for the third quarter, the markets will continue to benefit from the drop in oil prices. The DJ Transportation Index continues to outperform with airlines, trucking and delivery stocks all making new highs. This week also saw strong moves in retail stocks as shoppers are putting money saved at the pumps into their holiday shopping.  

The first week of December usually has a negative bias as portfolio managers sell-off shares of stocks that are underperforming and adjust losing trades for tax purposes. After the rally off the October lows we could see lower prices in the next few days but the longer term trend remains up. My Year-end target for the S&P 500 remains at 2082.65






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