Saturday, November 22, 2014

Saturday November 22, 2014

$SPY After gaping up at the open, stocks spent most of the day Friday fading off the opening rally. Just like what we saw on Wednesday, small cap and technology stocks led the fade and under performed.  In spite of weakened momentum, bulls stayed in control with another record close for the week. All of the indices in the Market Model including the S&P 500 are in overbought territory, but with the exception of the Russell 2000 any call for a pullback has been unanswered. As trees don’t grow to the sky, mean reversion will happen someday. But for now, dip buyers are still eager to jump in on any weakness. Near term downside is limited. The stock market is likely to turn quiet as we head into Thanksgiving.

In the coming shortened Thanksgiving week I will be looking to maintain the year-to-date profitability and will not be too active.  There are twenty one names on the current watch list with nine highlighted names worth closer attention on your part. 

Should the momentum continue I may add a few positions attempting to creep up to the recommended Asset Allocation range of 87.5%, but again not too aggressively.  With the Thanksgiving Holiday Thursday and the early close on Friday I am not expecting too much in the way of directional change in the coming week.


As a heads up, I will be working on the Master List Update over the coming two weeks in anticipation of releasing it in December 6th post and Alpha One Model update.





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